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Supreme Novices Hurdle Betting

March 15, 2010 by SJ in Featured, Horseracing

The top two mile novice hurdlers can be seen opening the Cheltenham festival in the Supreme Novice Hurdle. Irish trainers have won seven of the last ten runnings and again, look to have a great chance of winning the two mile event. Past winners who went on to bigger and better things include Hors La Loi III, Like-A-Butterfly and Brave Inca.

Supreme Novices Hurdle Free Bets

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Dunguib Free Bets

16th March 2010

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Every year there is much talk of a Cheltenham ‘banker’ and high on the list is this year’s favourite, Dunguib, last years very impressive Cheltenham and Punchestown bumpers winner. Philip Fenton’s son of Presenting has gone unbeaten over the smaller obstacles this season, winning every race hard held. In doing so, his price to win the race has tumbled to around 4-6.

Much has been made of Dunguib’s jumping and many have said he’s a poor jumper. To those people, I laugh at you. After much studying of his races, Dunguib jumps just fine! People forget that he is a novice; he is allowed and in away, supposed to make mistakes. If you really wanted to be picky, you could say he jumped much better going right-handed. His victories at Galway, Punchestown and Fairyhouse showed this, as he jumped much better at the above tracks then he did at Leopardstown.

Furthermore, all four races were run at a good clip. Come Cheltenham, I’d have no worries about Dunguib’s jumping. A slight worry would be his inexperienced rider but in fairness, he knows the horse better then anybody at this stage. Dunguib’s jumping may be rivalled by some of his other competitors but what is unrivalled is his engine. I really can’t see Dunguib being beat! At 4-6, he is no price though.

It looks virtually certain now that Get Me Out Of Here will contest this race and therefore start second-favourite, and I only see him shortening as the bookmakers are going to want to get Dunguib, who I am certain will start bigger than his current ante-post odds.

It was interesting to hear Willie Mullins talking so enthusiastically about both Flat Out and Blackstairmountain in his interview on RPTV though I don’t doubt he still rates Blackstairmountain as his number one, so Ruby Walsh will ride, leaving Emmit Mullins to ride Flat Out. I wouldn’t put anyone looking at either each-way.

Of the other top eight in the betting I don’t fancy the Henderson pair of Oscar Whisky or Bellvano (may head for the County Hurdle) or Menorah but would have time for Loosen My Load’s place chance if he does come here.